Article1 min read
12 Lessons After 12 Years in AdTech
A field guide from a decade-plus of chasing counterfeit traffic: what held up, what didn’t, and what I wish someone had told me at year one.
By Shailin Dhar
Twelve years chasing non-human traffic teaches you a handful of things that don’t fit on a dashboard. These are the ones I keep coming back to.
- Follow the money before you follow the traffic; the incentive explains the anomaly.
- Every metric is a claim. Ask who benefits if you believe it.
- The cheapest inventory is cheap for a reason you haven’t found yet.
- A defense with a single tell has an expiration date.
- Fraud rarely spikes; it blends. Smooth is suspicious.
- Vendors sell certainty; systems produce probabilities. Trust the ones who admit it.
- Averages hide the exact thing you’re paid to find.
- The absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
- Seasonality is a fraud calendar; budgets tell the bots when to arrive.
- You cannot optimize your way out of a measurement problem.
- The best control is the one that costs the adversary more than the prize.
- Write it down publicly; the industry improves only when the blind spots are named.
None of these are clever. They are just expensive to learn any other way. If a single one saves you a quarter of chasing the wrong number, it earned its place on the list.
AdTechCareer
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